Presence of Circulating Tumor Cells on Peripheral Blood Flow Cytometry at Best Response Predicts Overall Survival in Multiple Myeloma

Introduction: Myeloma response to treatment can be biochemical, pathological, or radiological, with pathological assessments being invasive. Next-generation blood flow (PBF) for assessment of circulating tumor plasma cells (CTCs) has shown promising results as a prognostic in Multiple Myeloma (MM) patients. CTC detection via PBF has a potential to serve as non-invasive method for assessing pathological burden of disease and response to treatment. Comparing CTC responses to the International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) criteria will further help to understand PBF's utility in predicting response to therapy.

Patients and Methods: The study conducted is a retrospective observational study. We included patients with MM treated at Mayo Clinic from 01/01/2011 to 12/31/2019 with CTC records available at the time of best response (BR) to frontline therapy. The CTC values were expressed as the number of plasma cell events per 150,000 Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells (CD38, CD138, CD19, CD45, Kappa, Lambda). The CTC levels were compared across all response(IMWG Criteria) groups at BR, and at baseline. The CTC response was expressed as % CTC decrease at BR from baseline. Time-to-event analyses utilized the Kaplan Meier method and Cox-proportional hazards models, with comparisons made using the log-rank test.

Results: We identified 621 patients with CTC data at the time of BR to frontline therapy. Of these, 148 (24%) had baseline CTC data from diagnosis. The median age at diagnosis was 62.3 (27.2-83.7). The median follow-up was 66.15 months; the distribution of patients by treatment class is as follows- Alkylator: 0.8%, PI(Proteasome Inhibitor)+Cyclophosphamide: 27.4%, IMid: 12.7%, PI+IMid(Immunomodulator): 55.9%, PI+IMid+antiCD38: 3.2%; 378 patients (78.8%) underwent an autologous transplant. BR to initial therapy was sCR/stringent Complete Response (10, 1.6%), CR (230, 36.9%), VGPR/Very Good Partial Response (224, 36.1%), PR (123, 19.8%), MR/Minimal Response (12, 1.9%), SD/Stable Disease (14, 2.3%), PD/Progressive Disease (8, 1.3%).

In the study, 64 patients (10.31%) had detectable CTCs at their BR. The distribution of CTCs across the different response categories was as follows: none (0%) in sCR, 3 patients (1.3%) in CR, 18 patients (8%) in VGPR, 24 patients (19.5%) in PR, 8 patients (66.7%) in MR, 6 patients (42.9%) in SD, and 5 patients (62.5%) in PD. The median CTC counts and their interquartile ranges for these categories showed significant variability: CR had a median of 46 (IQR: 28.5, 923), VGPR had 39.5 (IQR: 15.5, 111.25), PR had 47 (IQR: 22.75, 82.5), MR had 55 (IQR: 28.5, 85), SD had 96.5 (IQR: 22.25, 218.75), and PD had 317 (IQR: 57, 415). This Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) for response-wise distribution of CTC was <0.01. Response was dichotomized as PR and above for sCR, CR, VGPR, PR and less than PR for MR, SD and PD. Median Overall Survival(OS) for PR and above was 127.8 months (vs less than PR 56.7 months, p=0.01). Median OS for CTC+ at BR was 56.7 months (vs 134.8 for CTC negative, p=0.01). On multivariate analysis, presence of CTC at best response (Hazards Ratio = 2.9, n=1.1-2.9), RISS staging at diagnosis (Hazards Ratio = 2.35, n=1.5-3.05), less than PR (Hazards Ratio =1.8, 1.1-2.9) were independent predictors of inferior OS.

In patients with data for CTC available at both baseline and at BR to frontline therapy (n=148), 110 had CTC detectable at diagnosis. Among patients in various response categories, a complete disappearance of CTCs was observed in sCR (n=3, 75.0%), CR (n=36, 69.2%), VGPR (n=38, 64.4%), and PR (n=14, 60.9%). CTC responses greater than 90% were noted in VGPR (n=3, 5.1%), PR (n=2, 8.7%), and SD (n=2, 40.0%). No CTC response was reported in sCR (1, 25.0%), CR (16, 30.8%), VGPR (2, 3.4% and 13, 22.0%), PR (3, 13.0% and both 2, 8.7%), SD (1, 20.0% and both 2, 40.0%), MR (1, 50.0%), and PD (1, 33.3% and 1, 50.0%, respectively). The median OS for those with a CTC response was 112.4 months vs 28.2 months for no response. (p=0.01).

Conclusion: The presence of CTC at best response is an independent prognostic marker for inferior OS. Depth of response to frontline therapy correspond to a high rate of clearance of CTCs. Presence of CTC at best response provides independent prognostic value beyond the depth of response. A complete clearance of CTC at best response is associated with improved OS. CTC levels have not been corrected for WBC counts and may not be applicable in all settings.