Flow Cytometry-Based Assessment of the Proportion of Monoclonal Plasma Cells in Synthetic Phase (S-phase) Is an Independent Marker of Adverse Prognosis in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma

Background: A deeper understanding of the cytogenetic features has enabled robust risk stratification for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM). However, heterogeneity persists in the currently available prognostic tools and there is further room for personalization. We assess the utility of PC-PRO, a test to measure the proportion of monotypic plasma cells in the synthetic phase (S-phase) of cell cycle, as a prognostic marker for NDMM.

Methods: Patients with active MM diagnosed between January 2013 and January 2023 with a flow cytometry-based S-phase assessment at diagnosis were included. Flow cytometric immunophenotyping was performed using the following antibodies: CD19, CD38, CD45, CD138, cytoplasmic kappa and lambda immunoglobulin, and DAPI (4',6-diamidino-2-phenylindole). The percentage of plasma cells in S-phase was determined by measuring the proportion of cells with DNA content of the monotypic plasma cells between the G0/G1 and G2/M peaks. Plasma cell clonality was detected through demonstrating CD38 and CD138 positivity along with immunoglobulin light chain restriction, abnormality of CD19/ CD45 expression and/or ploidy difference by DAPI staining. High-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCA) by FISH were defined as follows: presence of deletion 17p (del17p), t(4;14), t(14;16), t(14;20), 1q gain/amplification, 1p deletion (when available). Additionally, the second iteration of the revised ISS (R2-ISS), incorporating both laboratory and cytogenetic features as well an adaptation of the recently proposed International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) Classification for high-risk disease, was utilized for risk stratification. All time-to-event analyses were performed using the Kaplan Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to assess the independent prognostic impact of S-phase.

Results: A total of 823 patients were included in the study. The median follow-up was 6 years [95% Confidence interval (CI): 5.5-6.3 years] and estimated median overall survival (OS) was 8.3 years. The median S-phase value for the cohort was 0.8 % (interquartile range: 0.5-1.4%), with 135 (16%) patients harboring an S-phase of ≥2% at diagnosis. Applying the R2-ISS prognostic model to our cohort, 11% (79/706) patients were stratified to the R2-ISS high-risk cohort; 93 patients (out of 788, 12%) had 2 or more HRCA at diagnosis. Patients with a S-phase ≥2% at diagnosis had a median OS of 3.9 years (95% CI: 2.9-5.7) vs. 9.2 years [95% CI: 7.9-not reached (NR)] for patients with a S-phase <2% [Hazard ratio (HR): 2.2 (95% CI: 1.7-2.8), p<0.0001]. The median OS was inferior for cohorts with an increasing S-phase value: S-phase of 0.1-1%: HR: 1 (standard), S-phase 1.1-3%: HR 1.7 (95% CI: 1.3-2.1), S-phase >3%: HR 3.0 (95% CI: 2.2-4.1)].

On a multivariable analysis including S-phase ≥2%, age at diagnosis of MM (>65 years) and R2-ISS high-risk status, S-phase ≥2% was an independent predictor of inferior OS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.9 (95% CI: 1.4-2.6), p<0.0001]. Age >65 years [HR 1.9 (95% CI: 1.5-2.5), p<0.0001] and R2-ISS high-risk status [HR 1.8 (1.3-2.6), p=0.001] were also independent predictors of OS. Within the sub cohort of patients with 2 or more of the listed high-risk cytogenetic features (n=93, 12%), a S-phase ≥2% (n=24) was associated with a worse median OS of 1.6 years (95% CI: 0.7-NR) vs. 6.2 years (95 % CI:3.3-NR) for S-phase <2% (p=0.002).

Conclusion: Flow cytometry-based determination of the proportion of monotypic plasma cells in S-phase is an easy-to-study and powerful prognostic tool for NDMM. A S-phase of ≥2% at diagnosis is a predictor of OS independent of age and R2-ISS high-risk stage. An S-phase of ≥2% was able to identify a distinct group with markedly inferior outcomes even within the sub cohort of patients with 2 or more high-risk cytogenetic features.