Program: Oral and Poster Abstracts
Type: Oral
Session: 621. Hodgkin Lymphoma: Biology, excluding Therapy: Biological Insights and Clinical Impact
Methods: We selected 203 formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue (FFPET) specimens from patients enrolled in a randomized phase 3 clinical trial (AHOD0031) of the Children’s Oncology Group (COG) based on the availability of archived FFPET blocks. That trial was designed to assess the value of early chemotherapy response for tailoring subsequent therapy in intermediate-risk pediatric HL. We performed GEP on RNA extracted from pre-treatment FFPET biopsies using NanoString technology and a customized codeset encompassing probes for 784 genes. These genes were either previously reported to be associated with prognosis and outcome in HL or represent the cellular diversity of the tumor microenvironment. Event free survival (EFS) and OS were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Gene expression data were used to develop a predictive model for EFS using penalized Cox regression with parameters trained using leave-one-out cross-validation.
Results: Of the 203 tissue samples obtained from the Biopathology Center at the Cooperative Human Tissue Network, 182 (89.7%) passed quality assurance testing, similar to the pass rate achieved for adult HL samples obtained from the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group trial E2496 (Scott et al., JCO 2013). We applied our previously published 23-gene predictor for OS (Scott et al., JCO 2013), developed using biopsies from adult HL patients to our pediatric cohort. After calibrating the new codeset, 53 patients were classified as “high-risk” and 129 as “low-risk”. Importantly, the model failed to predict inferior outcomes in the “high-risk” group (5-year OS 100% vs 95%, log-rank P = 0.125; 5-year EFS 82% vs 70%, log-rank P = 0.159), with patients in the “high risk” group trending to have superior outcomes than the “low risk” patients. Moreover, only 2 genes from this model, IFNG and CXCL11, were significantly associated with EFS in univariate Cox regression analysis (P = 0.003 and 0.048, respectively) but with inverse hazard ratios in the pediatric group compared to adult patients. Therefore, we sought to develop a novel EFS predictive model for pediatric patients treated in the AHOD0031 trial. Using univariate Cox regression we identified 79 genes significantly associated with EFS (raw P < 0.05). Using the expression of these 79 genes as the input to penalized Cox regression, we developed a 16-gene model to predict EFS in our training cohort. Using an optimized cut-off for the model score, 31% of patients were designated high-risk and had significantly inferior post-treatment outcome (5-year EFS 38% vs 89%, log-rank P < 0.0001). When multivariate analyses were performed including our EFS-model score, disease stage and initial treatment response as variables, only the model score was significantly associated with EFS (P < 0.0001, HR 11.3 (95% CI 5.5-23.4)).
Conclusions: Failure of the GEP-based model developed in adult HL suggests distinct biology underlies treatment failure in the pediatric age group. We describe the development of a novel predictive model for EFS in intermediate-risk pediatric HL patients that will be validated in an independent cohort of patients treated in the AHOD0031 trial. Successful validation of the model may provide a clinically relevant biomarker for pediatric and adolescent HL patients allowing refinement of risk stratification and the combination of molecular and clinical risk factors at diagnosis.
Disclosures: Scott: Celgene: Consultancy , Honoraria ; NanoString: Patents & Royalties: Inventor on a patent that NanoString has licensed .
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